Back in August, I released my winter outlook for the southern U.S. Since then, a number of reputable agencies have also released their outlook. My outlook now is Unchanged since then, but due to algorithms it is inevitable that many people didn't see it. Here it is again:
Pretty much everything you need to know is on the outlook, but given that the necessarily ads which help us pay for weather software may be blocking the image a bit, here are the basics.
The coldest and wettest locations will be directly along the Gulf of Mexico, this is because in general the storm track will be farther south than normal, bringing cold air and wet conditions multiple times this Winter along the Gulf Coast. With this we can assume snowfall and ice accumulations will both be well above average, again this doesn't mean much considering this area doesn't get much snow and ice in general. Farther north, cold air and wet conditions will still be in place, with above average snow and ice expected. Some models are hinting that we may see snow and ice across parts of the region as early as November. Stay tuned to our service and SHARE this update with everyone you know to make sure they are prepared for the coming Winter.
Nice and clean graphic! Great write up too! We may get a few episodes from a West Gulf Low scenario, as we did in 2004. I believe Victoria, TX received approx 14" of snow. Fairly deep cold dome was in place and a West Gulf Low provided significant Wrap around moisture over the cold dome which yielded the coastal snow totals! I'll be monitoring. Keep up the great work!
ReplyDeleteKirk Sullivan
Aviation Meteorologist
Rockwell Collins, Inc. Houston